Peak oil forecasts

One of the world’s most influential oil consultancies has forecast that global oil demand will peak within 20 years, as a “tectonic” shift in the transport sector towards electric cars and autonomous vehicles gathers pace. Wood Mackenzie, which works closely with companies across the energy industry, Since then, the peak oil advocates have repeatedly increased their estimates of recoverable resources (Campbell’s went from 1.575 to 1.9 trillion) and pushed the date of the peak further out Chart 1 – World oil demand (Mb/d) There is wide range of estimates of the point at which oil demand is likely to peak. Some projections suggest global oil demand could peak soon after 2025, others expect demand to continue to grow out to 2040 and beyond.

US and Saudi oil production reach peak growth Summer 2018 Brent forecasts 1 Median forecast price from Bloomberg: 23 banks in YE 2018, 64 banks in in  10 Sep 2019 “The main reason for forecasting peak oil demand in the early 2020s is our strong belief in the uptake of electric vehicles, as well as a less  In their paper, Campbell and Laherrère updated Hubbert's model with new reserve estimates and proposed that the world's crude oil production would peak   19 Mar 2019 Forecasting remains a difficult art for the energy that shaped the planet over last century, and But which peak oil — production or consumption? 15 Jul 2018 The prediction illustrates how projections of peak oil demand, once confined to the fringes of energy planning, have become accepted within the  22 Feb 2019 As such, for the first time BP's outlook predicted a "peak" in oil use. At 13 million b /d, global petrochemical feedstock is 13% of total oil demand.

Peak oil is the theorized point in time when the maximum rate of extraction of petroleum is reached, after which it is expected to enter terminal decline. As of 2020 peak oil forecasts range from the early 2020s to the 2040s, depending on economics and how governments respond to global warming.

5 Jun 2019 The phrase "peak oil" refers to the prediction that levels of world oil production ( i.e., extraction from the Earth) roughly reflect the shape of a bell  14 Dec 2018 Oil companies and oil producing nations will claim that peak oil is not a real “ The industry's long-term forecasts are unrealistic,” says Hughes,  10 Nov 2010 According to the 25-year forecast in the IEA's latest annual World Energy Outlook, the most likely scenario is for crude oil production to stay on a  21 Jul 2017 Companies, investors, and governments need to factor into their projections the real possibility of global peak oil demand. They should  8 Jun 2005 Mark your calendar: annual world production of crude oil will reach its peak this coming Thanksgiving, Nov. 24. At least, that's the 

Peak Oil is not new. The idea has been around since the 1970s, when Dr. M. King Hubbert made his predictions about the peaking of oil production in the US.

19 Mar 2019 Forecasting remains a difficult art for the energy that shaped the planet over last century, and But which peak oil — production or consumption?

12 Feb 2015 "That same logic was extended to world oil production, and there have been many predictions that global production will reach a peak, none of 

11 Jan 2017 Comparison of the Annual Energy Outlook 2016 (AEO2016) projection to AEO2014 and AEO2015 for the Bakken and Eagle Ford tight oil plays  8 Nov 2016 As a result, while BPBP forecasts that global oil demand will rise from roughly 94 million barrels per day (mbd) today to 112 mbd by 2035, as  16 Nov 2010 For the last century, oil production (meaning extraction and refining) Peak oil forecasts have varied wildly, with some experts arguing that it  10 May 2010 The U.S. Department of Energy has long disavowed peak oil theory: the notion that annual world oil production will peak, plateau, and then  25 May 2018 However, Hubbert's prediction never came to pass as technology and shifting cost factors stepped in to change the outlook. More recently,  27 Apr 2018 Looking further ahead, oil giant BP predicts global oil demand to peak at around 110 million barrels a day somewhere between 2025 and 2035.

About Peak Oil Recent Trends & Projections The worldwide rate of conventional crude oil production peaked at the end of 2004, and has remained between 72 and 74 million barrels per day (mbpd) ever since.

2 Jan 2020 And since we've officially entered the year 2020, it feels like an appropriate time to look at whether his prediction was correct. Spoiler alert: It wasn  19 Jan 2020 Will Permian Basin oil production “peak” in 2020? This all depends on oil prices. “It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future.”.

15 Nov 2019 The culmination of these trends could transform how people travel and prompt more revisions to forecasts for when oil consumption will peak. 22 Nov 2019 Exxon Mobil (XOM) in their 2019 Outlook For Energy state that "demand growth slows beyond 2030." Their projections assume EV and alternative  Explore analysis, reports, news and events about World Energy Outlook. The Oil and Gas Industry in Energy Transitions. World Energy Outlook special report. peakoil-04.pdf (pdf version of web pages, 625 KB, 21 pages, many graphs, May, put together the most detailed predictions of future oil production, to date.